Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.987519 3.339492 3.720344 4.163716 4.666502 5.219885 5.876359
2024-10-20 2.441651 2.903146 3.437693 4.105049 4.919274 5.884641 7.122186
2024-10-27 2.011508 2.501410 3.097808 3.881910 4.892456 6.160117 7.885061
2024-11-03 1.795923 2.317673 2.979636 3.888529 5.115534 6.730801 9.045121
2024-11-10 1.663335 2.216803 2.944770 3.983159 5.443847 7.451512 10.465293
2024-11-17 1.532822 2.100772 2.871611 4.008597 5.667218 8.036268 11.744717
2024-11-24 1.423051 1.999975 2.805488 4.030307 5.877450 8.610778 13.059114
2024-12-01 1.327934 1.909583 2.743010 4.046245 6.073074 9.172814 14.405060
2024-12-08 1.216775 1.785410 2.619039 3.955371 6.091537 9.456594 15.327260
2024-12-15 1.137687 1.701956 2.547558 3.935976 6.215324 9.911067 16.571006
2024-12-22 1.062891 1.618779 2.468974 3.896484 6.299225 10.302361 17.741198
2024-12-29 1.038530 1.611831 2.507761 4.048215 6.711069 11.278871 20.053289
2025-01-05 0.979002 1.545985 2.449776 4.038203 6.852716 11.813835 21.645268
2025-01-12 0.919074 1.475224 2.378489 3.999354 6.939780 12.259617 23.122958
2025-01-19 0.832428 1.354196 2.214785 3.785872 6.692290 12.066103 23.319316
2025-01-26 0.792934 1.309811 2.177462 3.792962 6.849511 12.644504 25.139501
2025-02-02 0.770935 1.293655 2.187179 3.885142 7.173721 13.574239 27.805255
2025-02-09 0.739752 1.259221 2.162004 3.909913 7.368799 14.265805 30.044657
2025-02-16 0.710365 1.225934 2.136318 3.931035 7.557367 14.960833 32.378467
2025-02-23 0.682307 1.193152 2.109110 3.946539 7.734919 15.648771 34.783347
2025-03-02 0.642071 1.135592 2.032227 3.858144 7.689256 15.853762 36.072138
2025-03-09 0.613997 1.098829 1.991864 3.839277 7.787334 16.379871 38.203676
2025-03-16 0.585382 1.059347 1.943774 3.800860 7.839512 16.807470 40.144682